Bush's victory was based on misconceptions about major issues. Most of his supporters disagree with his positions, but continue to support him because they aren't aware of his positions.
Even after the final report of Charles Duelfer to Congress saying that Iraq did not have a significant WMD program, 72% of Bush supporters continue to believe that Iraq had actual WMD (47%) or a major program for developing them (25%). Fifty-six percent assume that most experts believe Iraq had actual WMD and 57% also assume, incorrectly, that Duelfer concluded Iraq had at least a major WMD program. Kerry supporters hold opposite beliefs on all these points.

Similarly, 75% of Bush supporters continue to believe that Iraq was providing substantial support to al Qaeda, and 63% believe that clear evidence of this support has been found. Sixty percent of Bush supporters assume that this is also the conclusion of most experts, and 55% assume, incorrectly, that this was the conclusion of the 9/11 Commission. Here again, large majorities of Kerry supporters have exactly opposite perceptions.

Eighty-two percent of Bush supporters perceive the Bush administration as saying that Iraq had WMD (63%) or that Iraq had a major WMD program (19%). Likewise, 75% say that the Bush administration is saying Iraq was providing substantial support to al Qaeda. Equally large majorities of Kerry supporters hear the Bush administration expressing these views--73% say the Bush administration is saying Iraq had WMD (11% a major program) and 74% that Iraq was substantially supporting al Qaeda.

Asked whether the US should have gone to war with Iraq if US intelligence had concluded that Iraq was not making WMD or providing support to al Qaeda, 58% of Bush supporters said the US should not have, and 61% assume that in this case the President would not have.

[O]nly 31% of Bush supporters recognize that the majority of people in the world oppose the US having gone to war with Iraq. Forty-two percent assume that views are evenly divided, and 26% assume that the majority approves. Among Kerry supporters, 74% assume that the majority of the world is opposed.

Similarly, 57% of Bush supporters assume that the majority of people in the world would favor Bush's reelection; 33% assumed that views are evenly divided and only 9% assumed that Kerry would be preferred. A recent poll by GlobeScan and PIPA of 35 of the major countries around the world found that in 30, a majority or plurality favored Kerry, while in just 3 Bush was favored. On average, Kerry was preferred more than two to one.

Bush supporters ... incorrectly assume that Bush supports multilateral approaches to various international issues--the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (69%), the treaty banning land mines (72%)--and for addressing the problem of global warming: 51% incorrectly assume he favors US participation in the Kyoto treaty. After he denounced the International Criminal Court in the debates, the perception that he favored it dropped from 66%, but still 53% continue to believe that he favors it. An overwhelming 74% incorrectly assumes that he favors including labor and environmental standards in trade agreements. In all these cases, majorities of Bush supporters favor the positions they impute to Bush. Kerry supporters are much more accurate in their perceptions of his positions on these issues.
Source: Program on International Policy Attitudes. PIPA is a joint program of the Center on Policy Attitudes (COPA) and the Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland (CISSM), School of Public Affairs, University of Maryland. - www.pipa.org



In the 2004 presidential election, polling suggests that about 25 percent of all gays, lesbians, and bisexuals voted for George W. Bush. This number, about three million people, is about the same as in 2000, despite the Republicans' having based much of their 2004 campaign on an explicitly anti-gay platform.
Source: "'I'm a walking contradiction'" by Geov Parrish - WorkingForChange.com - 6/9/05



We see this same phenomenon in North Korea. Even though the country is bankrupt and people are starving, the government of Kim Jong Il manages to keep his subjects loyal using a combination of isolationism and propaganda.

"Lend me your ear while I call you a fool." - Jethro Tull - "The Witches Promise" - 1968
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Source: The PIPA/Knowledge Networks Poll - The Separate Realities of Bush and Kerry Supporters
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Source: The PIPA/Knowledge Networks Poll - The Separate Realities of Bush and Kerry Supporters
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Source: The PIPA/Knowledge Networks Poll - The Separate Realities of Bush and Kerry Supporters
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Source: The PIPA/Knowledge Networks Poll - The Separate Realities of Bush and Kerry Supporters
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Source: The PIPA/Knowledge Networks Poll - The Separate Realities of Bush and Kerry Supporters
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Source: The PIPA/Knowledge Networks Poll - The Separate Realities of Bush and Kerry Supporters
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Source: The PIPA/Knowledge Networks Poll - The Separate Realities of Bush and Kerry Supporters
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Source: The PIPA/Knowledge Networks Poll - The Separate Realities of Bush and Kerry Supporters
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Source: The PIPA/Knowledge Networks Poll - The Separate Realities of Bush and Kerry Supporters

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4/26/2024

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